Analysis: The Dollar Index (DXY)

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Analysis: The Dollar Index (DXY)


• The dollar index has been accumulating substantial bullish strength in the past 3 trading sessions.

• In the previous trading session, the index made highs of 102.21 after it gave a bullish breakout above the ascending wedge pattern and above the immediate resistance at 101.67.

• However, the index looks steady on Wednesday near the 102.15 level.

• Although volatility remains high in the index as we can see a large pin bar candle on the 4H chart, making lows of whooping 101.34, but the candle closed higher at 102.08.

• It signals that dollar bulls are strongly overpowering the bears.

*Economic Events*

• On Tuesday, important *S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Dec)* rose lower by 47.9 as compared to previous 49.4. It is likely to note that a reading below 50 indicates a contraction in the sector.

• *US Treasury Yield rose – gave a boost to US dollar*: Yields on the rate-sensitive two-year Treasury rose 0.07 percentage points to 4.32 percent, while the yield on the 10-year

*Current Situation:* On Wednesday, the US dollar index remains steady, staying above the 102 mark after a notable 0.8% increase in the preceding session. 

*Technical Analysis*

• The index is moving above the middle band of the Bollinger band. Prices are also trending in the buying zone of the RSI indicator.

• Both indicators are indicating bullishness.

*Important Levels to Watch:*

• Support: 102.0 and 101.67 will be important support levels

• Resistance: 102.25 – the intraday highs will act as important resistance, above which levels could reach 102.45

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