A 25 basis point rat...navsky より

A 25 basis point rate hike is widely expected on Wednesday, but analysts are divided over whether this will be a final hike before the FOMC pauses, or whether more substantial monetary tightening is needed. Weekly review #FedInterestRateDecision#

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The sudden collapse of Silicon Valley Bank — the biggest bankruptcy since the financial crisis of 2008 — triggered turmoil throughout the financial sector. SVB was the only publicly listed bank that specialized in Silicon Valley and startups for forty years, and its collapse in particular affected the venture capital sector and plunged climate technology startups into crisis. #gold# #BrentCrude#

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“A significant policy adjustment is behind us: we have raised interest rates by 350 basis points since last July. However, inflation is still high and uncertainty about its further development has increased. This makes it important to have a forward strategy,” Lagarde said in her speech on Wednesday. Powell is likely to be asked questions about how the latest turmoil will affect financial conditions and the economic outlook, and whether he sees room to lower inflation without triggering a recession. His job is to “clearly separate the problem of financial instability and the measures being taken to address it from the problem of inflation and strengthening the economy,” said Ellen Mead, an economics professor at Duke University and a former senior Fed official. #EUR/USD# #FedInterestRateDecision#

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Investors' attention is focused on whether the Fed will stick to its hawkish course in fighting high inflation, or hold off on raising interest rates, given recent troubles among banks that have included bankruptcies and last-minute bailouts. Markets are now pricing the Fed's chance of not raising rates at about 15%, with a 25 basis point chance of a rate hike at about 85%, CME's FedWatch tool showed. Investor sentiment remained fragile as worries about the outlook for the banking sector began to ease after sharp market volatility in the past few weeks following high-profile US banking crashes earlier in the month and the bailout of lender Credit Suisse Group AG over the weekend. The Fed is facing a difficult choice given the strong labor market and inflation figures in February that were higher than many market watchers had expected. #FedInterestRateDecision#

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