The countdown is on ...Beyond_charts より

14 Oct 2025, 21:45 · Views 154

The countdown is on - the Federal Reserve speaks in just 30 minutes, and global markets are holding their breath. Gold and silver traders are watching closely, wondering if this will be the moment that either fuels or halts the metals rally. A hawkish Fed could strengthen the dollar and apply pressure on precious metals, while a dovish tone might push gold and silver toward fresh highs. Every word from the Fed will shape market sentiment and trading decisions in the coming hours. ✨ Whether you’re holding positions or waiting for confirmation, this could be your make-or-break moment. Stay tuned - volatility is coming. #Fed# #FedInterestRateDecision# #Powell'sSpeech# #gold# #Signal# #COPYTRADE#

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応答 2

Brittanya Razavi

2025年10月15日

hello my love

Brittanya Razavi

2025年10月15日

hello my love

-終わり-

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Beyond_charts

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This is a meaningful macro surprise. A 1.4% print versus 3% expectations is not marginal — it represents a clear deceleration signal. With consumer spending cooling and exports contracting, internal and external demand appear to be losing momentum simultaneously. The government shutdown likely added temporary drag, but markets will focus on whether underlying demand is structurally slowing. If growth continues to undershoot expectations: Rate-cut expectations may increase The USD could soften Defensive assets may outperform Equity valuations may face pressure This isn’t recession confirmation — but it is a warning that the growth engine is cooling. 🔹 Pinterest Caption (SEO-Optimised) US GDP Slows to 1.4% in Q4 2025 – Major Miss vs Forecasts The US economy expanded at just 1.4% annualised in Q4 2025, well below the 3% forecast. Slower consumer spending, declining exports, and government shutdown disruptions weighed on growth, raising questions about economic momentum. 🔹 Pinterest Alt Text Alt Text: US GDP growth chart showing slowdown to 1.4% in Q4 2025 compared to 3% forecast, highlighting weaker consumer spending and export decline. If you want next, we can: connect this to Fed rate expectations, align it with DXY and gold technical reactions, or build a “soft landing vs hard landing” scenario post Tell me the direction.

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Unusual Positioning in Crude Oil: 23 March, 2026 A notable spike in USOIL volume was observed around 4:20, with ~3,000 contracts traded (≈$580M notional value), marking the highest activity of the day (before the announcement). This occurred minutes before Donald Trump announced a pause on planned military strikes at ~4:35, followed by a sharp market reaction. Key takeaway: * Abnormal volume preceding a major geopolitical event * The Bet: Traders placed a staggering $580 million bet across oil markets. Millions of dollars pocketed by someone (or a group) within minutes, probably based on insider information Yes, someone knew Trump going to announce ceasefire in advance.

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• Strength in Dalian and Chicago edible oils • Crude oil rally amid Middle East tensions Demand remains constructive: • India imports +10.1% MoM (6-month high) Policy backdrop supportive: • Indonesia exports +77.1% YoY (Jan) • Export levy increased to 12.5% to support biodiesel mandate Risks to monitor: • February shipment decline (~22%) • China PMI uncertainty Momentum positive — but dependent on Asian demand resilience. 🔹 FollowMe (Macro & Commodity Strategy) Palm oil’s current rally is a convergence trade. Three forces aligning: 1️⃣ Currency weakness (ringgit) 2️⃣ Energy strength (crude oil risk premium) 3️⃣ Restocking demand from India Add to that Indonesia’s aggressive export growth and biodiesel policy reinforcement — and you have structural supply rebalancing. Yet caution is warranted: • February export shipments declined materially • China’s PMI may signal post-holiday softness • Geopolitical premium in crude can unwind quickly The bigger picture: If crude remains elevated and China stabilises, palm oil could extend toward higher resistance levels. If China weakens, upside may stall. Commodity traders should watch Asian macro prints closely this week.

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The FTSE 100 edged slightly higher on Monday, hovering near record levels, as investors reacted to geopolitical developments over the weekend. Gains were led by precious metal miners such as Endeavour and Fresnillo, supported by rising gold and silver prices as global uncertainty increased following US President Donald Trump’s move to oust Venezuela’s leader. Defence stocks also outperformed, with Babcock, Melrose and BAE Systems benefiting from heightened geopolitical tensions. Copper miners advanced as well, tracking higher copper prices driven by concerns over tighter supply and the prospect of further US tariffs. Energy stocks weighed on the index, with Shell and BP falling. #FTSE100# #euro# #StockMarket# #Indices#

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Markets moved with caution today, with the STOXX 50 and 600 inching up about 0.2% as traders waited for the Fed’s policy direction. Defence stocks rallied strongly following expectations of Germany approving €52B in military contracts, and renewables gained momentum. Meanwhile, Thyssenkrupp fell 13% after projecting up to €800M in losses by 2026. A pivotal moment awaits — FOMC could be the volatility trigger. Stay alert. #StockMarket# #UK# #U.S.StocksClimbs#

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