Despite the negative shift witnessed in risk sentiment, the USD is having a difficult time finding demand ahead of the weekend. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield is down nearly 5% on the day at around 3.4%, forcing the US Dollar Index (DXY) to stay in the red near 104.00.
The data published by the University of Michigan (UoM) revealed on Friday that the Consumer Confidence Index declined to 63.4 in early March from 67 in February. More importantly, "year-ahead inflation expectations receded from 4.1% in February to 3.8%, the lowest reading since April 2021," UoM Surveys of Consumers Director, Joanne Hsu, said.
Ahead of next week's critical Federal Reserve policy meeting, this report seems to be causing investors to reassess their positions. According to the CME Group FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25 basis points Fed rate hike next week currently stands at 68%, down from nearly 80% earlier in the day.
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