Other Fed officials also crossed the wires with Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic saying one more quarter-percentage-point interest rate hike can allow the Fed to end its tightening cycle while Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said that a US recession is certainly feasible. Consequently, Fed funds futures traders are pricing in an 81% probability that the Fed will hike by an additional 25 basis points at its May 2-3 meeting.
Meanwhile and domestically, traders will look to the Reserve Bank of Australia´s minutes. Analysts at TD Securities noted that in recent speeches, governor Phillip Lowe and deputy governor Michele Bullock made it clear that the RBA wanted to pause to assess the impact of the rapid rate hikes and the economic outlook. ´´Thus, we expect the Minutes to follow closely to their speeches and don't expect any surprises. Again, the Minutes will emphasize the "long and variable lags" of monetary policy and the uncertainty from the mortgage roll-off.´´
Analysts at ANZ Bank explained that resilience and green shoots were the themes of this week’s data prints across the labour market, business conditions and housing. ´´We see risks to inflation as tilted up and, in our CPI preview, forecast trimmed mean, non-tradables and services inflation will all annualise above 6% in Q1. But we don’t think this will be enough for the RBA to move in May.´´
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