EUR/USD COULD SEE A RETEST OF LAST WEEK'S LOW AT 1.0635 – ING... anbiru から-フォローミートレーディングコミュニティ

12 Jun 2023, 19:22 · Views 61

EUR/USD continues to trade well above 1.07. Economists at ING analyze the pair’s outlook.

EUR/USD will find a base in the 1.05/1.07 area this month

The good demand for commodity currencies plus a re-rating of the Real, Rand and Shekel seem to suggest that investors could be moving onto their next big thing – which is the cyclical Dollar decline in the second half of the year. That happens to be our baseline view and one of the reasons we think EUR/USD will find a base in the 1.05/1.07 area this month before pushing to 1.15 by year-end.

Beyond the US data and the Fed meeting, this week's focus will be on Thursday's ECB meeting. It seems too early for the ECB to drop its inflation guard, but a hawkish Fed story could be dominating and EUR/USD could see a retest of last week's low at 1.0635

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