Economists at ING analyze the outlook for currencies of the Central and Eastern European (CEE) region this week.
EUR/CZK should return below 23.70 and EUR/HUF to 370
In the FX market, the region should benefit today with a delay from Friday's upward movement of EUR/USD as well as the positive sentiment in Europe from the end of last week. On the other hand, the bad news for the Hungarian Forint and the Czech Koruna is the renewed rise in gas prices, which is once again becoming a strong player in this part of the region.
A dovish NBP in the second half of the week should not come as a surprise to the market and therefore we do not expect much pain for the Polish Zloty.
So overall, we are slightly bullish on FX in the CEE region this week. If gas prices calm down again, EUR/CZK should return below 23.70 and EUR/HUF to 370. EUR/PLN should stay below 4.450.
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