Looking at the G10 currencies in June shows that the Dollar weakened, but that the Yen softened even further. Yen selling is likely to continue in the short term, in the view of economists at MUFG Bank.
A policy shift by the BoJ could result in a considerable strengthening of the Yen
We expect USD/JPY to come under downward pressure from moves by the BoJ and the Japanese authorities in the short term and by changes in the Fed's monetary policy over the medium term.
A policy shift by the BoJ could result in a considerable strengthening of the Yen. However, in the immediate term, or if the BoJ does not shift gears at the July monetary policy meeting, we see the risk of the Yen weakening further.
The decline in the Yen real interest rate, which has been driving the recent weakening of the Yen, is also approaching its limit. Market proverbs warn of the danger of picking market highs and lows, but based on last year's experience, we expect the USD/JPY to head toward 150 if it breaks past 145 with momentum. We have therefore raised the upper end of our forecast range.
免責事項：本記事で述べられている見解は著者の見解のみであり、Followmeの公式見解を反映するものではありません。Followmeは、提供された情報の正確性、完全性、信頼性について一切責任を負いません。また、書面で明示的に記載されている場合を除き、本記事の内容に基づいて行われたいかなる行動についても責任を負いません。
古いコメントはありません。ソファをつかむ最初のものになりましょう。