USD/CAD FAILED TO HOLD MOMENTUM CLOSING BELOW THE 200-DAY SMA, SECURES THE 100-DAY SMA

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  • The USD/CAD closed near the 1.3415 area after jumping to a high above 1.3500, above the 200-day SMA.
  • The US Dollar saw gains amid cautious market sentiment.
  • Rising Oil prices limited the CAD’s decline.

The USD/CAD closed with gains on Tuesday but failed to consolidate above the 200-day Simple  Moving Average (SMA), closing near 1.3415 but securing the 100-day SMA. The USD strengthened on the back of a sour market mood on the US front. On the other hand, the Canadian dollar managed to mitigate its losses, supported by an upward movement in Oil prices, its main export commodity, the West. Both economic calendars remained empty as investors' eyes are on the Consumer Price Index figures from the US, from Jully scheduled for Thursday.

In that sense, investors' expectations on the next Federal Reserve (Fed) movements will dictate the pair's pace in the week. As Jerome Powell stated, that decision will depend on incoming data, and inflation figures from the US will likely impact the bets placed for the next September meeting.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, tightening expectations for the Federal Reserve remains low. The odds of a hike stand near 14% for the September meeting and rise near 30% in November. However, those odds will likely be impacted by inflation figures on Thursday, also dictating the pace for the bond market and the USD.

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