EUR/USD has recovered marginally ahead of the Federal Reserve’s March Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday, the outcomes of which will be announced at 18:00 GMT. Bets that the Fed will start cutting interest rates – currently at 5.25%-5-50% for the Fed Funds Rate – by June are increasing.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, which uses Fed Fund Futures to calculate the probability of future changes in the Fed Funds Rate, the probability of the Fed cutting rates by June is 64.0%, and 78.9% by July.
This marks an increase from the 55.1% and 73.7%, respectively, seen on Tuesday. This change in expectations could be responsible for the recovery in EUR/USD, which measures the value of a Euro in US Dollars.
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