US DOLLAR RALLY TEMPERED TO START WEEK, GAINS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE

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  • DXY rally sees minor pullback on Monday but is set to continue its upward journey this week.
  • Fed maintains that only one rate cut is expected in 2024, conflicting with market expectations.
  • US Treasury yields continued rising, gaining more than 1% on Monday.

On Monday, the US Dollar Index (DXY) experienced some pullback but maintained overall strength. Tracking the previous week's performance, the DXY was influenced by the hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) and the risk-off impulses from Europe. These two driving factors are expected to continue influencing the Index, allowing the US Dollar rally to proceed. It's worth noticing that the Index, on Friday, closed at its highest level since early May and is expected to retest the April-May highs near 106.50.

The US economic outlook persists in a state of ambiguity. The Fed continues to keep its economic indicator projections unchanged but revised its forecast for Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) higher. Primarily, soft inflation levels combined with a robust labor market illustrate the mixed dynamic of the US economic landscape.


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