TRUMPONOMICS: MAKE US COMPANIES MORE PROFITABLE AGAIN – COMMERZBANK

avatar
· Views 74


The goal of a restrictive US trade policy is to reduce the US current account deficit. That seems to me to be the sense of the tariff threats in economist terms. The incoming administration seems to want to do everything to make US companies more profitable: low corporate taxation, the lifting of environmental and consumer protection rules, etc. can probably be subsumed under this heading. In addition, US fiscal policy is likely to become much more expansionary, Commerzbank’s Head of FX Research Ulrich Leuchtmann notes.  

A more expansionary US fiscal policy is on its way

“The capital account and the current account are two sides of the balance of payments. The two balances are always equal in size. That equality is not based on abstract economic theory and does not hold ‘in equilibrium’, but it holds for simple accounting reasons. Every second and to the cent. The reported statistics do not reflect this truism, but only because official statistics cannot capture all transactions.”

“The combination of a business-friendly US economic policy, an expansive US fiscal policy and a restrictive Fed monetary policy leads to USD strength and thus (because (1.) in such a situation capital flows increasingly into the USA and (2.) the strong dollar worsens the price competitiveness of the US economy) to higher deficits in the US current account.”


免責事項:本記事で述べられている見解は著者の見解のみであり、Followmeの公式見解を反映するものではありません。Followmeは、提供された情報の正確性、完全性、信頼性について一切責任を負いません。また、書面で明示的に記載されている場合を除き、本記事の内容に基づいて行われたいかなる行動についても責任を負いません。

この記事が気に入ったら、著者にチップを送って感謝の気持ちを表しましょう。
応答 0

古いコメントはありません。ソファをつかむ最初のものになりましょう。

  • tradingContest