📊 Trade Plan:
🔻 Entry: 52930
🛑 Stop Loss: 53550
🎯 Take Profit 1: 52420 (above 0.786 Fib)
🎯 Take Profit 2: 51860 (above 0.618 Fib)
📉 Technical Picture (H4 & Daily):
Parabolic SAR: Dots have flipped above price. Trend signal turned bearish.
Accumulation/Distribution: Divergence — price making higher highs, A/D making lower highs. Smart money distributing, not accumulating.
Fibonacci: Grid drawn from swing low to swing high. TP1 sits just above the 0.786 level, TP2 just above 0.618.
🗞️ Fundamental Note:
Dow futures are climbing after weak NFP data tempered September rate hike expectations — now at 45%, down from 48.3% a week ago. The Dow rallied nearly 2% last week to fresh records, driven by defensive sectors. But FOMC Minutes Wednesday could shift the narrative.
❌ Invalidation:
A daily close above 53550 invalidates the Parabolic SAR flip and voids the short setup.
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