XAU/USD (Gold) – 15 Minute Technical Analysis (Educational)
Market Structure
Current Price: around 4000.0
Timeframe: 15 Minutes
Trend: Short-term bearish after a strong impulsive selloff.
Price broke below the descending trendline and continued falling aggressively, indicating strong selling pressure.
A potential demand/support zone has formed near 3984–3978 where buyers are attempting to defend the area.
Key Levels
Support Zone3984.5 – 3983.8
3984.5 – 3983.8
First demand area where price reacted.
Major Support / Invalidation3960.5
3960.5
A break below this level would strengthen the bearish continuation scenario.
Immediate Resistance4015 – 4020
4015 – 4020
Recent consolidation area.
Higher Resistance4040 – 4045
4040 – 4045
Previous intraday structure.
Target Zone4059 – 4060
4059 – 4060
The chart projects a recovery move toward this area.
Liquidity & Price Action
The sharp decline likely swept sell-side liquidity beneath previous lows.
The reaction from the support box suggests buyers are absorbing supply.
A short-term pullback rally is possible if the support continues to hold.
Bullish Scenario
Entry idea: Wait for bullish confirmation above 3995–4000.
Stop Loss: Below 3980 (or more conservatively below 3960.5).
TP1: 4015
TP2: 4040
TP3: 4059–4060
Bullish Trigger
Hold above the support zone and break the minor lower-high structure.
Bearish Scenario
If price fails to reclaim 4000–4015 and starts rejecting from resistance, sellers may regain control.
A decisive break below 3983 opens the way toward 3970 and 3960.5.
Below 3960.5, the bearish continuation becomes significantly stronger.
Bearish Trigger
A clear close below 3983.8 would invalidate the current rebound idea.
Bias
Intraday Bias: Cautiously Bullish
Reason: Price is reacting positively from a strong support area after an extended selloff, so a corrective move toward 4015 → 4040 → 4060 is possible while 3983 holds.
免責事項：本記事で述べられている見解は著者の見解のみであり、Followmeの公式見解を反映するものではありません。Followmeは、提供された情報の正確性、完全性、信頼性について一切責任を負いません。また、書面で明示的に記載されている場合を除き、本記事の内容に基づいて行われたいかなる行動についても責任を負いません。
