Morning traders, ove...Smart Jet より

Morning traders, overnight the RBNZ delivered its 50bps but the forward guidance was more balanced than the dovish we would have wanted, it delays the path for AUDNZD to reach the target but won't change the overall trend, the pair is still likely going to continue the grind higher medium term with the China boost and the hawkish RBA Other than that we continue to have our interest on USD longs for the week, US yields are still firmly up which is the main reason why we expect Dollar strength to continue, the market is gearing for higher US rates and a couple of extra hikes from the FED which will allow the USD to stay supported over the next couple of weeks, any rally into resistance on EURUSD and we will go short

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Morning traders, today what I'm mostly interested in is comments from FED speakers, we can interpret the CPI however we want but what matters is how the FED interprets it in order to decide their next move, so listening for comments on whether for them that's progress or whether they feel they need to do more, there is a speaker today and few others tomorrow so listening very closely Other than that, BoE rate decision today is one to watch too, we have no GBP exposure at the moment so it doesn't particularly interest us but Goldmans has been alerting about a possible hawkish outcome out of this event that could lead to GBP strength across the board, just something to be aware of in case you have any GBP trade running

Smart Jet

Morning traders, with the CPI everywhere I look I see notes about the likelihood of a strong print, Goldmans is also expecting a number a tiny bit above expectations so we are geared in that direction but obviously when the consensus is geared one way the risk is that the number doesn't meet the already high expectations triggering an unwind of positions So, even if the likelihood is USD strength we don't want to get into the event too long the Dollar, meaning that we will likely adjust the recently added AUDUSD short before the CPI later, then once we see the numbers and the price action around it we can start looking at some medium term direction across the board

Smart Jet

Morning traders, today I'm looking at EURUSD to possibly jump into shorts from the top of the technical range near 1.10800, setting an alert there and will look at lower timeframe price action to confirm, we want to be careful with USD longs ahead of the CPI but not too careful that we miss the entry, 1.10800 is a decent resistance that we don't want to hesitate too much to short so let's see what we see when price gets there Will be back with the latest from Goldmans in a minute to see what they are up to this week

Smart Jet