And that's us done f...Smart Jet より

And that's us done for the week, the NFP was just a tiny bit above consensus with the internals not saying anything new, so that overall doesn't change the picture for the medium term picture, what matters most at this point is the CPI next week, that's the big one, USDJPY shorts remain mainly what I'm looking at but I want to engage with that only when we start seeing some confirmation that this pullback is topping out, that would be when we start seeing some hourly candles closing below 131.800 and even better below 131.600, definitely that's something that we will be carefully watching for next week but in the meantime, happy Good Friday, have a GREAT weekend

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Morning traders, RBA hiked 25bps overnight which was a move not priced in, and that's an interesting development, mainly because it offers us an insight into what central banks might be thinking, you know, if the RBA is overextending on its tightening then other central banks might find themselves in a similar situation, sure the context around the RBA and FED is different but still, the RBA just opened the door for the possibility of central banks doing MORE than what's currently expected With that said, this is not something that we can take action on short term but it whispers that it is time to be careful with risk assets again, more tightening not just from the FED but from other central banks too will put more pressure on the economy globally which will weigh on risk, so in this context I continue to like the Dollar

Smart Jet

📉EURGBP, cherry picking the entry here which feels a bit pretentious since it’s also near Goldmans stop loss but I think we can get it, I mean, technically price is sitting right at support so a bit of a pullback and squeeze of the late shorts is possible, setting a pending order to short at 0.87800 with target 0.86000 and stop loss 0.88500, 0.5% risk📉

Smart Jet

Morning traders, with the CPI everywhere I look I see notes about the likelihood of a strong print, Goldmans is also expecting a number a tiny bit above expectations so we are geared in that direction but obviously when the consensus is geared one way the risk is that the number doesn't meet the already high expectations triggering an unwind of positions So, even if the likelihood is USD strength we don't want to get into the event too long the Dollar, meaning that we will likely adjust the recently added AUDUSD short before the CPI later, then once we see the numbers and the price action around it we can start looking at some medium term direction across the board

Smart Jet