Setup Failed. From ...CLOVER GOLD FX より

Setup Failed. From a technical perspective, gold’s surge on October 20, 2025, was supported by a strong bullish breakout above the previous resistance zone near $4,150 per ounce, confirming a continuation of the uptrend that had been forming since early Q3 2025. The move was accompanied by high trading volume and a bullish crossover on major momentum indicators such as the MACD and RSI, signaling strong buying pressure. The price also remained well above key moving averages particularly the 50-day and 200-day EMAs which acted as dynamic support levels. In addition, a weakening U.S. dollar index (DXY) and falling bond yields further reinforced the bullish technical setup. Together, these factors created a confluence of technical signals that drove gold to a new all-time high around $4,300 per ounce during that week.

21 Oct 2025, 01:35 を編集しました

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GBPCHE on the 1D timeframe shows a completed corrective structure where price respected the descending trendline and formed a clear base at point C. The impulsive rejection from this low signals strong demand stepping in after the correction phase. Market structure is shifting from lower lows into higher highs which supports a bullish continuation scenario. The breakout above the corrective trendline confirms strength and opens the path toward the Fibonacci retracement zone. The 50 percent and 61.8 percent levels act as the first upside objectives where price may react before extending further. As long as price holds above the recent swing low the bullish bias remains valid and any pullback can be seen as a continuation opportunity rather than weakness.

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CADJPY is showing a clean bullish structure where price has completed a corrective ABC pattern within the broader wave 4 and has now broken above the descending trendline resistance that capped previous upside attempts. This breakout from the consolidation zone, supported by strong rejection from the lower boundary of the correction, signals that buyers are gaining momentum and preparing for the next impulsive phase. The grey zone highlights the key retest area where bulls are stepping back in, and as long as price holds above this region, the market is positioned to advance toward the anticipated wave 5 continuation. Overall, the structure reflects strength, trend alignment, and a potential bullish extension as market sentiment shifts firmly in favor of buyers.

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The complex correction is finally behind us, and the structure is shifting back to an impulsive phase. This is exactly why we don’t force trades during the chop, we simply wait for the clear path to reveal itself. Now that the roadmap is defined, the real opportunity begins. Patience pays.

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