🌅 Morning Update | 16 February 2026 (Mon)
A new week is starting in a holiday-thinned market. 🇺🇸 U.S. cash equities and bonds are closed for Presidents’ Day, while mainland China is shut for Lunar New Year, so liquidity is thinner than usual and early moves may look muted or choppy.
📉 Asia: calm tone, low volatility
Japan’s Nikkei is hovering around flat near 56,956, while India’s Nifty 50 is steady around 25,493.
🇯🇵 Japan: GDP misses expectations
Japan’s Q4 GDP came in soft at +0.2% annualised and +0.1% q/q, keeping traders cautious on the policy outlook and weighing on the yen.
💱 FX: yen softer
The yen is giving back part of last week’s strength, with USD/JPY around 153.15 in early trade. Risk-sensitive FX is broadly steady in thin conditions.
🇳🇿 New Zealand: expansion, but momentum cools
The services sector stayed just in expansion with PSI at 50.9, but the pace is slowing. January electronic card spending fell -1.1% m/m, suggesting softer post-holiday demand.
🥇 Metals: profit-taking
Gold is easing on the day, with spot around $4,986/oz, and silver also lower near $75.64/oz.
🔥 Natural gas: biggest mover
Natural gas is the standout decliner again, with the front contract near $3.018.
₿ Crypto
bitcoin is trading around $68,400–$68,700 after failing to hold above $70,000.
🗓️ Week ahead
The focus shifts to FOMC minutes and TIC flows (18 Feb), then flash PMIs and PCE inflation (20 Feb) - all in a week where tariff-related headlines could also add volatility.
🚀 Thin liquidity can exaggerate moves - trade smart and have a strong week with NordFX!
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