🌅 NordFX MORNING UP...NORDFX Global より

07 Apr 2026, 14:32 · Views 2,099

🌅 NordFX MORNING UPDATE — April 7, 2026 🌏 ASIAN MARKETS A mixed session in Asia as geopolitical uncertainty dominates: 🇯🇵 Nikkei 225 — ~52,192 (+0.69%) — cautious gains 🇭🇰 Hang Seng — ~26,797 (+1.71%) — ceasefire hopes lift HK stocks 🇨🇳 Shanghai Composite — ~3,880 (-1.00%) — China under pressure 🛢️ OIL — The Big Story All eyes are on the Trump Deadline: the U.S. President set 8:00 PM ET today for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz — or face strikes on infrastructure. WTI crude spiked to $116+/bbl in early Asian trading before retreating to the ~$112 area as ceasefire hopes flickered. Iran has rejected a proposed 45-day truce. Volatility remains extreme. 🔥 📈 US STOCKS Wall Street holding cautiously. S&P 500 near 6,595, Dow ~46,540, Nasdaq ~21,931 — futures slightly positive. Headwinds remain: Trump's blanket 15% tariff on all imports, EU pushback, and the ongoing "AI scare trade" weighing on tech. 📊 🥇 GOLD Safe-haven demand keeping gold firmly bid at $4,680–$4,700/oz, supported by Iran war tensions, central bank buying, and Fed rate-cut expectations. $4,700 is the key resistance to watch today. ✨ 💶 FOREX EUR/USD trading around 1.1546, in a cautious range. Strong US jobs data (178K new jobs in March, unemployment 4.3%) is supporting the dollar, while geopolitical risk adds uncertainty. The pair remains within a triangle pattern — the next breakout direction will be key. ₿ CRYPTO Bitcoin ~$68,700–69,400 (+3.5% in 24h) recovering on ceasefire optimism. Ethereum near $2,110–2,150. Fear & Greed Index at Extreme Fear (13) — a contrarian signal worth watching. 👀 📌 KEY EVENTS TODAY ⏰ Trump's Iran deadline: 8 PM ET 📦 API Crude Inventories report 🗣️ Fed speakers ⚠️ Trading involves significant risk. This is not investment advice. 🔗 NordFX — Trade the World's Markets

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🌅 NordFX Morning Update – June 19, 2026 🌏 Asia: Nikkei hit a fresh record for a fifth straight session (+0.8%, +8.5% this week); Kospi jumped 3.1% to a new high (+15.3% this week) as Strait of Hormuz shipping returns to normal. Japan's May core CPI held at 1.4% YoY – still below the BOJ's 2% target despite this week's hike to 1%. Hong Kong and mainland China are closed today for the Dragon Boat Festival. 💵 FX: The Dollar Index holds near 100.8 after touching a 1-year high Thursday on hawkish Fed bets under new Chair Kevin Warsh. EUR/USD ~1.1457, GBP/USD ~1.3202, USD/JPY ~161.1 – the yen near a 2-year low, keeping BoJ intervention risk in focus. 🛢️ Commodities: Oil extends its weekly slide – WTI ~$76, Brent ~$79.50 – as tankers resume normal Strait of Hormuz transit. Gold slipped 1% to below $4,180/oz; silver fell 2%, near $65. 📈 Stocks: US markets are closed today for Juneteenth. Wall Street closed Thursday at session highs – S&P 500 +1.08% (7,500.58), Nasdaq +1.91% (26,517.93) – led by Intel's 10.6% jump on an Apple chip-partnership report. ⚡ Watch today: thin holiday liquidity, yen intervention risk, and follow-through from the Strait of Hormuz reopening. 📊 Trade smart with NordFX!

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Economic Calendar 22-26 June 2026

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PCE and GDP Day: What Growth and Inflation Together Tell Forex Traders | NordFX Today the US drops two heavyweight reports back to back: the third estimate of Q1 2026 GDP and the May Personal Income and Outlays report, home to the Fed's favorite inflation gauge, PCE. 📊 GDP growth was already revised down to 1.6% annualized in the second estimate, from 2.0% at the advance reading, on weaker consumer spending and investment. Since consumption drives nearly 70% of GDP, today's number is a real time read on how stretched US households are. Inflation has been climbing, not cooling. April's PCE ran 3.8% year over year, core at 3.3%, both well above the Fed's 2% target. Economists expect May's print to push higher, toward roughly 4.1% headline, the hottest since 2023, driven largely by the oil shock from the Israel Iran war that began in late February. 🛢️ There is a silver lining: crude has dropped sharply this week, with WTI near $70 and Brent near $73.50, the lowest since the war started, as ceasefire talks edge forward, though still fragile, with flashpoints in Lebanon and around the Strait of Hormuz. A cooler May reading would ease pressure on the Fed. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh held rates at 3.50% to 3.75% in his first meeting on June 17, a fourth straight hold, but dropped dovish forward guidance. Half the committee now sees a hike by year end, and futures markets price roughly 70% odds of one by September. 🏦 That tension is exactly why today matters for FX. A hot PCE plus solid GDP would push the dollar, already near a one year high, even further, with EUR/USD pinned near 1.136 and gold sliding toward $4,000. A cooler surprise could spark a relief rally in EUR, GBP and gold, especially with sterling already weak on UK political turmoil. Expect a volatile session either way. ⚡ Open your NordFX account: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis... 🚀

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🌅 NordFX Morning Update – June 18, 2026 📉 Wall Street recap: US stocks fell after new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's first FOMC press conference turned hawkish. The Fed held rates at 3.50–3.75% (unanimous 12–0), but the dot plot lifted the 2026 median rate projection to ~3.8% from 3.4%, with 2026 PCE inflation forecasts jumping to 3.6%. Dow –0.98% to 51,492.55, S&P 500 –1.21% to 7,420.10, Nasdaq –1.34% to 26,021.66. 🌏 Asian markets: Japan's Nikkei 225 jumped +1.8%, breaking above 71,000 for the first time ever, even after the BoJ hiked rates to 1.0% earlier this week – the highest since 1995. Hong Kong's Hang Seng is down around –0.7%, China's CSI 300 is roughly flat, and Australia's ASX 200 slipped –0.3%. 🕊️ Geopolitics: Trump and Iran's president signed an MOU Wednesday extending the ceasefire and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with a formal ceremony still due Friday in Switzerland. This is easing safe-haven demand and pressuring the dollar into Thursday's session. 💱 FX: The dollar has pulled back from Wednesday's post-Fed highs. USD/JPY holds near 160.50–161.00 (highest since mid-2024), EUR/USD is back near 1.1600, and GBP/USD recovered above 1.3300 after touching a 2-month low – all eyes on the Bank of England decision at noon GMT (a hold at 3.75% is expected). AUD/USD is edging higher near 0.7070. 🥇 Commodities: Gold rebounded above $4,300/oz after Wednesday's Fed-driven slide, as the weaker dollar offsets the hawkish rate outlook. Oil is softer – WTI near $75.5, Brent near $79 – on expectations that the Hormuz reopening will bring more supply back online. 👀 Today's watch: BoE rate decision at noon GMT, plus continued market digestion of the Fed's hawkish pivot versus easing Middle East risk. #NordFX #ForexNews #MarketUpdate

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🚀 CRYPTO NEWS OF THE WEEK — June 10-17 📈 Bitcoin clawed back from a sub-$60K dip to reclaim $65,000-$66,000 this week, as President Trump confirmed a US-Iran ceasefire deal reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Ethereum rebounded in tandem, climbing back above $1,800. 🐳 Spot Bitcoin ETFs snapped a 13-day, $4.4B outflow streak with fresh inflows mid-week. Strategy kept buying too, adding 1,587 BTC (~$100M) to push its treasury past 846,000 BTC. Whales pulled over 11,000 BTC off exchanges, a sign of renewed accumulation. 🔥 Top weekly gainers: Bittensor (TAO) +28%, Zcash (ZEC) +21%, WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) +20%. 🏛️ New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh ran his first FOMC meeting (June 16-17). Rates held at 3.50%-3.75%, as expected, with focus on the Fed's updated rate-path projections. 📜 US lawmakers introduced the Federal Cryptocurrency Theft Enforcement and Coordination Act on June 11, proposing a national task force to fight crypto hacks and fraud. 🕵️ Security researchers this week tied the $36M Humanity Protocol token theft to North Korean hackers, who used stolen developer credentials rather than a contract exploit. 🎉 Fun fact: A physical Bitcoin auction is going down this week, 120+ lots of rare Casascius and Lealana coins, a redeemed 10 BTC Casascius piece, and even the very first issue of Bitcoin Magazine. You really can collect Bitcoin like a baseball card. 🪙 🏦 Crypto Before the Fed: Why the Dot Plot Can Matter More Than the Rate Decision This week's rate hold was no surprise, almost everyone expected it. What actually moved markets was the Fed's "dot plot," the chart showing where officials see rates heading next. A steady median dot supports a "rates on hold through 2026" story crypto can rally on. Even one dot shifting higher signals a possible hike, a far bigger shock than any rate hold. The lesson for traders: the fine print often matters more than the headline. 📊

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