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๐ŸŒ… NordFX MORNING UPDATE | April 10, 2026 ๐ŸŒ BIG PICTURE Markets remain on edge as the fragile USโ€“Iran ceasefire โ€” struck on April 8 โ€” continues to show cracks. Iran claims violations, Israel says Lebanon is "not included" in the truce, and the Strait of Hormuz remains largely restricted to tanker traffic. USโ€“Iran peace talks in Islamabad begin today, led by VP JD Vance. Every headline moves markets. ๐Ÿ“ฐ ๐Ÿ“ˆ STOCKS Wall Street extended its winning streak to 7 consecutive sessions โ€” the longest since October. Thursday's close: S&P 500 at ~6,825, Dow at ~48,151, Nasdaq +0.83%. Gains were driven by hopes the ceasefire holds and energy costs ease further. Caution remains as ceasefire durability is far from guaranteed. ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ OIL Volatile and politically charged. After WTI plunged ~16% to ~$94/barrel on ceasefire news (Apr 8), prices rebounded Thursday with WTI near $98โ€“99 and Brent around $97, as the Strait of Hormuz remained partially blocked. Goldman Sachs cut its Q2 Brent forecast to ~$90/bbl โ€” but warns of upside risk if the strait stays closed. Supply disruptions remain severe; full recovery of Gulf oil flows could take months. ๐Ÿ’› GOLD Holding firm near $4,700โ€“4,770/oz, supported by geopolitical uncertainty, falling bond yields, and bets on eventual Fed rate cuts. Gold is still up ~49% year-over-year, consolidating in a $4,700โ€“$4,820 range as markets digest the ceasefire dynamics. ๐Ÿ’ฑ FOREX EUR/USD trading around 1.1690, slightly lower in early Asian session as traders assess ceasefire fragility ahead of today's US CPI release. GBP/USD holding above 1.34, supported by continued USD weakness. The DXY continues to trade under pressure, near multi-week lows.

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