📊 NordFX Weekly For...NORDFX Global より

29 Jun 2026, 16:42 · Views 9,397

📊 NordFX Weekly Forex Forecast: Quarter-End Flows - USD Funding, Gold, Oil and Crypto Before July Q2 closes out on Tuesday, June 30, and quarter-end rebalancing is adding extra noise to an already jumpy market. 💵 USD: New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh held rates at 3.50%-3.75%, but the tone is hawkish - May inflation hit 4.1%, and markets now price nearly three rate hikes this year. The Dollar Index hit a 13-month high above 101.80. EUR/USD sits near 1.14 despite the ECB's first hike since 2023 - the rate gap is just too wide. Expect short-term USD funding to tighten into Tuesday as dealers do their usual quarter-end repo shuffle, then ease into July. ✨ Gold: trading near $4,000-4,070/oz, down for a 4th straight week on the strong dollar, though still up over 20% year-on-year. Central banks bought near-record amounts in Q1, and almost 90% plan to keep adding - dips still look buyable medium-term. 🛢️ Oil: WTI near $68-69, Brent near $72, the lowest since before the Iran conflict, as Gulf supply and Hormuz shipping recover. Crude is down over 20% in four weeks, but the truce is fragile - fresh talks just shifted to Doha, and one bad headline could flip it fast. 📉 Crypto: Bitcoin near $59,000-60,000, the weakest since 2024, hit by ETF outflows and rotation into AI stocks. Sentiment is deep in "extreme fear" - crypto is trading like a risk asset, not a hedge. 🌍 This week: watch the ISM PMI, the US jobs report, and any Doha headline - that's what's moving gold, oil and the dollar together right now. Trade the volatility with tight spreads at NordFX: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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🪙 NordFX Crypto News of the Week: Washington, ETF Inflows and a Sleeping Whale 📈 Crypto regained momentum. bitcoin climbed above $66,000 and reached its highest level in around five weeks. Softer US inflation supported risk appetite, while spot bitcoin ETFs attracted approximately $727 million over the week. Ether outperformed, gaining around 8% over seven sessions and approaching $1,930. 🏛️ Washington returned to crypto regulation. The White House and US senators intensified negotiations over the CLARITY Act, which is designed to establish clearer rules for digital assets. Ethics restrictions, anti-money-laundering requirements and the division of authority between regulators remain the main obstacles ahead of a possible Senate vote. 🌍 Global regulators raised the alarm. An international financial-crime watchdog warned that organised criminal groups are exploiting gaps between national crypto regulations to move and launder billions of dollars. 🔐 Gaming became a crypto-security risk. US investigators arrested a suspect linked to malware hidden inside downloadable games. The programme allegedly infected around 8,000 devices and helped steal more than $220,000 from dozens of crypto wallets. 🐋 Fun fact of the week: a bitcoin wallet that had remained inactive for more than eight years suddenly transferred 5,907 BTC worth approximately $383 million. The coins were moved to another wallet rather than an exchange, leaving the owner’s plans a mystery. ⚡ Politics, inflation, institutional flows and long-silent whales all reminded traders that the crypto market never truly sleeps.

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💵 What actually moves the US Dollar — and why should you care? Meet DXY, the US Dollar Index — a single number that tracks the dollar's strength against a basket of 6 major currencies (with the euro doing over half the heavy lifting 👀). 📊 Rising DXY? EUR/USD and Gold usually fall. 📈 It's one of the most underrated tools for confirming your forex trades before you click Buy or Sell. In our latest guide, we break down: 🔹 How DXY is actually calculated 🔹 What moves it (hint: the Fed matters — a lot) 🔹 Its correlation with gold, oil & major FX pairs 🔹 Step-by-step: how to trade it on MetaTrader 5 Ready to trade smarter? 👇 🔗 https://nordfx.com/useful-arti... #Forex #DXY #USDollarIndex #TradingTips #NordFX #ForexTrading

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📣 Speak Forex with NordFX: "Fade the Move" Ever watched a price rocket straight up and thought, "Nah, that's gotta come back down… right? RIGHT?" — congrats, you've just discovered fading. Fade the move = betting against the current trend because you think it's overextended, exhausted, or basically running on fumes. It's the trading equivalent of watching someone sprint at the start of a marathon and going, "Sure, buddy, let's see how that holds up at mile 20." Fading works great when a move is genuinely overdone and about to snap back. It works terribly when the market says "hold my coffee" and keeps running anyway — which is why fading is often called "catching a falling knife" by people who caught said knife blade-first. 🔪 ⚖️ The golden rule of fading: confidence is good, but a stop-loss is your best friend. The market doesn't care how sure you are. So next time someone says they're "fading the pump," you'll know: they're not tired, they're just contrarian. 👉 Ready to test your own fade (or follow the trend, we don't judge)? Open your account with NordFX here: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis... #SpeakForex #NordFX #TradingTerms #FadeTheMove

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🌅 NordFX Morning Update – July 17, 2026 📉 Asia: Nikkei plunged another 3%+, breaking below 65,000 for the first time in a month as the AI/chip selloff deepens. Hang Seng held flat near 25,000, decoupling from Tokyo's rout. Mainland China stayed soft on growth concerns. 🛢️ Oil: WTI ~$79, Brent ~$85 – near one-month highs as US–Iran tensions keep the Strait of Hormuz risk premium elevated. 🥇 Gold: XAU/USD near $3,980, still under $4,000 and headed for a 3%+ weekly loss as yields and a firmer dollar weigh. 💱 FX: EUR/USD steady around 1.1470–1.1475. 🇺🇸 US: Fed holding a cautious tone ahead of the July 29 decision. Today's watch: University of Michigan inflation expectations. ⚠️ Volatility is elevated – trade with caution and manage risk. 📊 Trade smart with NordFX!

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📊 NordFX Insight: Industrial Production and Import Prices – How Real Economy Data Moves FX Two "boring" US reports are quietly steering the dollar right now. Here's why they deserve your attention. 🧵 🏭 Industrial Production Output from factories, mines and utilities has been choppy in 2026: down 0.5% in March, up 0.9% in April, then just +0.1% in May, missing forecasts. Capacity utilization sits around 76%, still below its long-run average. Verdict: the industrial economy isn't overheating. 💵 Import Prices Here trade policy hits the data directly. Import prices rose 1.9% in May after 2.0% in April, lifting the annual rate to 6.7%, the fastest in years. Air freight import costs alone jumped nearly 28% year over year. The cause: a wave of new tariffs, including a 10% global surcharge, Section 232 duties on steel, aluminum and copper, plus fresh Section 301 measures, has pushed the average US tariff rate above 9%. 📦 🌍 Why It Matters for FX Soft output plus rising import costs is a tricky mix for the Fed: not clean growth, not clean disinflation, more like stagflation-style pressure, and that keeps rate expectations volatile. Layer on today's backdrop: renewed US strikes on Iran, energy market jitters, and a new Fed chair steering policy, and you get a dollar that jumps on every print. DXY has been oscillating near 100-101 this month, while EUR/USD pushed back above 1.14 as traders trim Fed hike bets and lean into ECB tightening expectations. 📉📈 🎯 Bottom Line Industrial production shows how strong the real economy is. Import prices show how much tariffs and supply chains are adding to inflation. Together they shape the Fed's next move, and that move ripples through every major currency pair. 💡 Ready to trade the next big data-driven swing? Open your account with NordFX 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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